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Forget fish house, build Ark quick!


Corey Bohn

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Really, really hope Paul Douglas is wrong with the GFS graphic he posted last night on Star Tribune site showing that if forecast models align as they think they may, southwest / west-central Minnesota could see another 50 inches of accumulated snowfall between March 8-9 and another mega snowstorm on March 18-19. Mpls. totals from both are in the 30 inch accumulated total, with west-central MN in the 40+. Go to the ST site and click on "Paul Douglas On Weather" and scroll down to the graphic. He's been pretty accurate this entire winter, hope he's wrong this time. Anybody want to go to Cancun for the next 3 weeks.

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Holy Cr ap!! I'm hoping the "Goof on the Roof" isn't right about that. Actually, he got the info sent to him from another weather guy / computer model, but no matter....even 1/2 that is too much!! 50" more inches would be EPIC!!

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Oh Lord, I sure hope not! Let us pray he is way off the mark on this one. Anything close to that lurking into the Red River Valley about then would be a....really...really....bad deal.

pauldouglas_1299214385_F5.jpg

"This is a prediction for total accumulated snowfall between now and midnight, March 19. Two separate (major) storms: next Wednesday, another very significant snowstorm possible around March 18-19. The GFS prints out a 53" bullseye over southwestern Minnesota (Windom area), with nearly 30" for the Twin Cities between these two storms."

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If that map is correct it would be a disaster for anyone living close to a river in the state. Towns like Mankato that have huge flood walls might even be in danger. This could be the winter we tell our grand children about. Let's hope it doesn't happen. 53" of snow in one week is INSANE!

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Oh for crying out loud. He's predicting snowfall amount for the next 3 weeks? LOL They can't even accurately do it for the next 3 days.

I'm sure he (as well as others in the media) will be riding the flood gravy train this spring. smirk

If the over under is 53" for Windom. I'm taking the under and hitting that "bet" button until it runs out of paper.

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Oh Lord, I sure hope not! Let us pray he is way off the mark on this one. Anything close to that lurking into the Red River Valley about then would be a....really...really....bad deal.

pauldouglas_1299214385_F5.jpg

"This is a prediction for total accumulated snowfall between now and midnight, March 19. Two separate (major) storms: next Wednesday, another very significant snowstorm possible around March 18-19. The GFS prints out a 53" bullseye over southwestern Minnesota (Windom area), with nearly 30" for the Twin Cities between these two storms."

I think BartmanMN said it right... Nice inside lines here. Is this pure evidence that we are addicted to fishing when a weather map looks like a lake map to us??? LOL

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You hit the inside turns I'll hit the steep drop offs. I cant decide between Lincoln Nebraska or Houlton U.P.. I'm leaning towards the UP as I think there will be more rocks. OOps! the UP looks like its Superior so Lincoln here I come.

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Oh for crying out loud. He's predicting snowfall amount for the next 3 weeks? LOL They can't even accurately do it for the next 3 days.

I'm sure he (as well as others in the media) will be riding the flood gravy train this spring. smirk

If the over under is 53" for Windom. I'm taking the under and hitting that "bet" button until it runs out of paper.

WHOA WHOA WHOA. Wait just one minute. Are you suggesting somebody in the media might be overstating something in an effort to make his mundane story slightly more interesting than the next mundane story? That is sensationalizing the news. Well sir, we just will not stand for that. We know those good folks in the media are unbiased reporters of the hard facts. Shame on you for suggesting otherwise. Good day sir.

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Ed, have been praying for and with you ever since seeing that forecast model. Goose89 is right, it would be epic, and the results would most likely be catastrophic for Fargo and the Red River Valley and any and every community along a river in the tri-state region especially when factoring in any rain in April. Northeast South Dakota and the Jim River valley may have to drop the plural from lakes as it would just become "lake". Ed, do you know what the tipping point would be at Devils Lake, ND? I know they have near record snowfall this winter at Devils Lake and they were predicting prior to this, that water levels may be to the point that you won't be able to float a boat under the bridges south of town.

I know that if Devils Lake, ND, reaches the tipping point, that DL could go from a 150,000 acre lake to 400,000 acres in a hurry. If that happens, bye-bye Minnewaukan, which may go anyway. Can't happen because Mr. Douglas has been pretty much spot on on his extended weather forecasts all winter, and what is the chance of a meteorologist running the table for an entire winter?

On a lighter side, I had one of those "weather woodys" Wayne E. was referring to when I first saw the GFS model because I initially thought those numbers were predicted high temperatures for the next two weeks. When I read on and discovered those were snowfall totals things shrank in a hurry. Bartman, those would be some nice inside turns on any lakemap (dat was funny as was Wayne E.). Might have to call the boys at LakeMaster on Monday, because if we do get any resemblance of that kind of snowfall, that GFS chart may very well be the new lakemap for the upper-midwest.

Last GFS model that ran indicates things could stay further south with snowfall totals cut in half (except for SE Minnesota). 25 inches would still be a mess as they were already predicting major flooding throuhgout Minnesota and the Dakota's this spring. As food for thought.....there is a 30 day waiting period on flood insurance before the policy becomes effective. There is no coverage within that window.

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