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Does this snow (again) pretty much kill all opener plans?

dfv87

By dfv87
in Open Water

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paceman Grand Master

paceman

Posted
Posted

3 weeks till opener and still below average cool temps. I suspect some shallow small lakes could be open but the majority of the bigger deep lakes will either still have ice or be so cold that the fish won't have spawned yet and will be hard to catch. Also the shiner run will be later as well. I think no matter where you are it will be pretty tough fishing until late May-June. Then it could be really good.

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Shack Grand Master

Shack

Posted
Posted

This snow, if not melted quickly like last weeks snow, only insulates the ice further.

Basically it stops the penetration of sunlight, insulates the ice from above freezing temps which in turn keeps the water cooler and basically has to melt before the ice will start thinning again.

Fact of the matter is temperature now. Sunny and 70/80 within two weeks will make things speed up drastically but cloudy and 30/40 deg days would not. Who know?

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CaptainMusky Grand Master

CaptainMusky

Posted
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IF there's open water to put the boat in on opener IT WILL BE COLD...

Last year they called it global warming this year they are now calling it climate change...

Its called WEATHER.

No one can take daily, monthly, yearly weather circumstances and make any ascertation as to what that means overall. They have to look at trends in years and even at that recordable history is only 100 years in most cases so there isnt much data to go on.

The last time I saw a Spring relatively like this it was 97. There was ice remaining on many of the Northern lakes on opener.

The fish will bite, you just have to possibly change your approach. I suspect I will have a very successful opener because the way I fish every opener will capitalize on the large numbers of fish still shallow.

Without rain and overnight temps well above freezing I doubt half of the lakes in MN will be open come fishing opener.

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ANYFISH2 Veteran

ANYFISH2

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I wouldn't say it will be impossible, getting closer to improbable though.

Shamineu has 28" of ice, shorlines are good to fair, overall ice is in good condition. weakspots exsist from the draining of melt earlier this spring and some deterioration has occured. Best case senario is the wieght of the snow yesterday (12" at my home in Randall) will sink the ice and get some water on top to melt snow and allow more solar melt to occur. Although possible, times getting pretty narrow now for it to open.

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harvey lee Grand Master

harvey lee

Posted
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One never knows, it could get warm with wind and rain and all the snow and ice could go fast.

Yes, the water could have cooler than normal temps but we know nothing other than spring will be a bit later. One will need to change presentations for the cooler water temps, the fish still need to eat.

I will be going in the Alex area for sure.

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dfv87 Experienced

dfv87

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would it help if we ran up there this weekend and drilled holes to let the water up all over???? Ok I am grasping at straws now... we just would rather fish in a boat for opener than decayed ice...

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Down Deep Veteran

Down Deep

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My guess is most lakes will go by May 1. May 10 for the large deep Canadian border lakes and a bit later for lakes near the Gunflint. There will be many fishing opportunities by the walleye opener. I've never seen this much snow this late, but its 33 degrees with bright sun and water is just pouring off the roof of my well insulated house. Northern MN has 40's forecast all of next week and that will zap the snow pouring water into rivers and on top the lakes which will deteriorate the ice.

http://climate.umn.edu/doc/ice_out/ice_out_description.htm

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thatoneguy Veteran

thatoneguy

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My guess is most lakes will go by May 1. May 10 for the large deep Canadian border lakes and a bit later for lakes near the Gunflint. There will be many fishing opportunities by the walleye opener. I've never seen this much snow this late, but its 33 degrees with bright sun and water is just pouring off the roof of my well insulated house. Northern MN has 40's forecast all of next week and that will zap the snow pouring water into rivers and on top the lakes which will deteriorate the ice.

http://climate.umn.edu/doc/ice_out/ice_out_description.htm

Leech (at least where I was this morning) has 30" of ice and lots of snow on top of that. There is ZERO chance it will be out by May 1, and not a great chance - barring a massive warm front and lots of rain - that it will be out by the opener. I do see that the last day of the current 10-day forecast has a high in the 50s, so let's hope that's the start of a warming trend.

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MnIceman Enthusiast

MnIceman

Posted
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The more runoff from the snow melting will only raise the surface water temperature. The water under the ice is about 35 degrees or warmer now. The ice is melting from below also. Just not as fast as above. The weight of the snow will help submerge the ice . I think lakes with more inlets and outlets will most definetly be out. Shallow lakes too. My opener plans are up near the BWCA. If nothing else, I'll be river fishing.

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