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Normal weather coming?


Black_Bay

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I saw this on Accuweather. It's from Brett Anderson's blog. He's a Canadian Weather Expert. Let's hope he's right.

El Nino is Fading

Wednesday, January 10, 2007

El Nino

It certainly appears that El Nino (the warming of the equatorial Pacific Waters) has already peaked in intensity (probably in December), and is now starting to show a steady decline. Whether that steady decline continues is up for debate, but as of right now, we are probably dealing with a weak to slightly moderate El Nino. It is now anticipated that conditions may get back close to neutral by spring. What does this mean for Canada? Well, I think we may already be seeing the effects of a weakening of El Nino with the current pattern change which is trending toward a building West Coast ridge of high pressure which will certainly help dry out British Columbia. That same ridge is also allowing the very cold air from the far north to spill down through the Prairies, while blocking the moist, Pacific air from invading the country . The southern branch of the jet stream is getting supressed well to the south as the northern, polar jet becomes dominant. Eventually, that cold air will be taking up residence across a large portion of eastern Canada starting next week and probably continuing through at least the end of the month, if not longer. The coldest departures from normal will likely be across Ontario and Quebec the second half of this month, then less so as you progress to the east through the Maritimes and Newfoundland.

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With daily highs at or below freezing and over night lows in the single digits, what measurement of added ice could be expected daily the next week for all you wizards on ice making !!

I have noticed many small perms (and some large) hitting the ice in SE Mn the past few days. Worried this cold snap we get will cause all sorts of bad logic and a tremendous amount of pressure all at once.

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The currrent temps in the Selkirk region this morning is -35

C, or -31 F, either way you slice it's extremely cold! Ice has not been an issue up here this winter in fact this cold snap might have us using auger extensions for Lake Winnipeg!

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Quote:

The currrent temps in the Selkirk region this morning is -35

C, or -31 F, either way you slice it's extremely cold! Ice has not been an issue up here this winter in fact this cold snap might have us using auger extensions for Lake Winnipeg!


Lucky you, its only been a dream down here as of late. Now this is more like it. Just need the wind to die down since it won`t help freeze all the open water we have around here.

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